Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 9.980741e-05 0.000116 0.000133 0.000151 0.000172 0.000193 0.000218
2025-04-13 6.841903e-05 0.000090 0.000115 0.000144 0.000178 0.000215 0.000259
2025-04-20 5.160714e-05 0.000076 0.000105 0.000142 0.000186 0.000236 0.000297
2025-04-27 4.004453e-05 0.000066 0.000098 0.000140 0.000192 0.000254 0.000330
2025-05-04 3.085746e-05 0.000056 0.000090 0.000137 0.000196 0.000267 0.000357
2025-05-11 2.590369e-05 0.000052 0.000088 0.000140 0.000207 0.000289 0.000394
2025-05-18 2.082342e-05 0.000046 0.000084 0.000139 0.000213 0.000305 0.000424
2025-05-25 1.692636e-05 0.000042 0.000081 0.000140 0.000220 0.000321 0.000453
2025-06-01 1.558973e-05 0.000042 0.000084 0.000148 0.000237 0.000350 0.000500
2025-06-08 1.327242e-05 0.000039 0.000083 0.000151 0.000247 0.000370 0.000534
2025-06-15 1.160548e-05 0.000038 0.000083 0.000155 0.000258 0.000393 0.000573
2025-06-22 9.809668e-06 0.000035 0.000082 0.000157 0.000267 0.000411 0.000606
2025-06-29 7.137316e-06 0.000031 0.000076 0.000153 0.000266 0.000418 0.000625
2025-07-06 4.729620e-06 0.000025 0.000069 0.000146 0.000262 0.000419 0.000636
2025-07-13 3.352036e-06 0.000022 0.000065 0.000143 0.000264 0.000429 0.000659
2025-07-20 2.320097e-06 0.000020 0.000062 0.000141 0.000266 0.000440 0.000682
2025-07-27 1.458010e-06 0.000017 0.000058 0.000138 0.000267 0.000447 0.000701
2025-08-03 1.118693e-06 0.000016 0.000058 0.000141 0.000276 0.000467 0.000738
2025-08-10 7.100014e-07 0.000014 0.000056 0.000141 0.000281 0.000479 0.000764
2025-08-17 4.382789e-07 0.000013 0.000054 0.000141 0.000286 0.000494 0.000792
2025-08-24 4.137954e-07 0.000014 0.000057 0.000149 0.000304 0.000525 0.000844
2025-08-31 2.800178e-07 0.000013 0.000057 0.000152 0.000313 0.000545 0.000881
2025-09-07 2.022278e-07 0.000013 0.000058 0.000156 0.000325 0.000569 0.000922